Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Sporting Covilha and Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Sporting Covilha had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.07%) and 1-2 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.64%), while for a Sporting Covilha win it was 1-0 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.