SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Valadares Gaia had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Valadares Gaia win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Valadares Gaia |
59.85% ( 0) | 23.41% | 16.74% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 44.86% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.09% ( -0) | 53.91% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.64% ( -0) | 75.36% ( 0) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.28% | 17.72% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.62% | 48.38% |
| Valadares Gaia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.51% ( -0.01) | 45.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.68% ( -0.01) | 81.32% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Valadares Gaia |
| 1-0 @ 13.94% 2-0 @ 12.06% 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.96% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.49% 4-0 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.36% Total : 59.84% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0)Other @ 0.62% Total : 23.4% | 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.33% 0-2 @ 2.5% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.44% Total : 16.74% |
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