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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
FL

Casa Pia
1 - 0
Famalicao

Bolgado (60')
Taira (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pele (45+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 0-1 Benfica
Saturday, September 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 2-1 Famalicao

Casa Pia have kicked off their top-flight campaign on a solid note and head into the weekend as slight favourites to claim the desired results. Martin's side take on a Famalicao side who have struggled to grind out results on the road and we predict they will come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 35.6%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (12.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Casa Pia.

Result
Casa PiaDrawFamalicao
35.6% (2.151 2.15) 29.67% (1.015 1.02) 34.73% (-3.163 -3.16)
Both teams to score 43.03% (-2.665 -2.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.95% (-3.291 -3.29)64.05% (3.296 3.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.78% (-2.411 -2.41)83.22% (2.413 2.41)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89% (-0.277 -0.28)34.11% (0.281 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2% (-0.299 -0.3)70.8% (0.304 0.3)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.3% (-3.754 -3.75)34.7% (3.757 3.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.57% (-4.185 -4.19)71.43% (4.188 4.19)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 35.6%
    Famalicao 34.72%
    Draw 29.66%
Casa PiaDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 12.73% (1.39 1.39)
2-1 @ 7.25% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.85% (0.698 0.7)
3-1 @ 2.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.46% (0.234 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 35.6%
1-1 @ 13.47% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 11.83% (1.37 1.37)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.395 -0.4)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.66%
0-1 @ 12.52% (0.25 0.25)
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.674 -0.67)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.571 -0.57)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.536 -0.54)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.477 -0.48)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.301 -0.3)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 34.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 2-3 Casa Pia
Sunday, September 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Arouca
Sunday, September 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Casa Pia
Monday, August 29 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-0 Boavista
Sunday, August 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Benfica
Saturday, August 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-0 Casa Pia
Sunday, August 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-1 Benfica
Saturday, September 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, September 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Santa Clara
Sunday, August 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Famalicao
Monday, August 22 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-3 Braga
Friday, August 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-0 Famalicao
Saturday, August 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga


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