Casa Pia will fancy their chances of maintaining their fine run of results as they go up against an out-of-sorts Maritimo side who have endured a horrid start to the season. Martins's side have picked up seven points from a possible nine away from home this season and we are backing them to come away with a slender victory on Monday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Casa Pia in this match.
0.13) 
-0.06) 
