Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Gondomar had a probability of 12.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.29%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Gondomar win it was 1-0 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Santa Clara in this match.
0.45) 
-0.7) 
