While Estrela will be looking to get their season up and running this weekend, they are in for a tough 90 minutes against a Santa Clara side who have shown they have what it takes to compete in the big leagues. That said, we predict that Matos' men will bounce back from their loss against Benfica and secure a second consecutive home victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 56.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 19.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santa Clara in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Santa Clara.
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