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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
SC

Benfica
4 - 1
Santa Clara

Akturkoglu (27'), Luis (34'), Silva (47'), di Maria (58')
Silva (74')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lopes (1')
Safira (30'), Rocha (72'), Serginho (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Benfica
Friday, August 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-1 AVS
Saturday, August 31 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 2-1 Santa Clara

While Santa Clara have already shown their goalscoring threat since returning to the big time, facing Benfica on the road is a different challenge despite the Eagles' managerial change. Thus, we are backing Lage for a marginal win on his return to the Stadium of Light. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 68.06%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawSanta Clara
68.06% (0.598 0.6) 19.31% (-0.166 -0.17) 12.63% (-0.431 -0.43)
Both teams to score 47.27% (-0.71599999999999 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.77% (-0.286 -0.29)45.23% (0.288 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.42% (-0.273 -0.27)67.58% (0.27699999999999 0.28)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.74% (0.084000000000003 0.08)12.26% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.01% (0.175 0.17)37.99% (-0.173 -0.17)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.87% (-0.867 -0.87)46.13% (0.869 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.18% (-0.679 -0.68)81.82% (0.682 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 68.05%
    Santa Clara 12.63%
    Draw 19.31%
BenficaDrawSanta Clara
2-0 @ 12.45% (0.23 0.23)
1-0 @ 11.87% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.71% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.57% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.54% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.92% (0.053 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 68.05%
1-1 @ 9.18% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.069 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 19.31%
0-1 @ 4.38% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3.55% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 1.69% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 0.92% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 12.63%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Benfica
Friday, August 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, August 24 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, August 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 2-0 Benfica
Sunday, August 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 0-1 Fulham
Friday, August 2 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Benfica 5-0 Feyenoord
Sunday, July 28 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-1 AVS
Saturday, August 31 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-2 Santa Clara
Saturday, August 24 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-2 Porto
Friday, August 16 at 5pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-4 Santa Clara
Sunday, August 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica B 1-3 Santa Clara
Saturday, August 3 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-2 Santa Clara
Saturday, July 27 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3


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