Sporting Lisbon walks into this match as the favourites, and while anything can happen in football their quality should prove to be too much in this particular fixture.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 90.54%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for Dumiense had a probability of 2.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 4-0 (11.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.35%), while for a Dumiense win it was 0-1 (0.99%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
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