Sporting Lisbon walks into this match as the favourites, and while anything can happen in football their quality should prove to be too much in this particular fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 90.54%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for Dumiense had a probability of 2.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 4-0 (11.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.35%), while for a Dumiense win it was 0-1 (0.99%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Dumiense
90.54% ( -0.14)	7.05% ( 0.11)	2.4% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 35.42% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.58% (

-0.44)

26.42% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.25% (

-0.56)

46.75% (

0.56)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.57% (

-0.08)

3.43% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

85% (

-0.29)

15% (

0.29)

Dumiense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

36.68% (

-0.17)

63.32% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.74% (

-0.08)

92.26% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 90.52%

Dumiense 2.4%

Draw 7.05%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Dumiense
3-0 @ 13.88% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.05) 7-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 7-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) 8-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.27% Total : 90.52%	1-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 7.05%	0-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.41% Total : 2.4%