SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 72.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 10.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Rakow Czestochowa win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa |
72.95% ( 0.01) | 16.18% ( -0.01) | 10.88% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.66% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.8% ( 0.03) | 35.21% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.78% ( 0.04) | 57.22% ( -0.04) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.65% ( 0.01) | 8.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.9% ( 0.03) | 29.1% ( -0.03) |
| Rakow Czestochowa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.46% ( 0.02) | 42.54% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.1% ( 0.02) | 78.9% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa |
| 2-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0)3-0 @ 9.06% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.74% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.62% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.81% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.79% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.39% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.05% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.16% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0)6-1 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 72.95% | 1-1 @ 7.54% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.18% | 1-2 @ 3.22% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.04% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.26% Total : 10.88% |
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