Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Uniao de Leiria and Atletico Malveira.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uniao de Leiria win with a probability of 86.9%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for Atletico Malveira had a probability of 3.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uniao de Leiria win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 4-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.45%), while for an Atletico Malveira win it was 0-1 (1.45%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uniao de Leiria would win this match.
| Result |
| Uniao de Leiria | Draw | Atletico Malveira |
86.9% ( 0.14) | 9.37% ( -0.09) | 3.73% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 39.01% ( -0.03) |
| 69.52% ( 0.21) | 30.47% ( -0.21) |
| 48.24% ( 0.24) | 51.76% ( -0.24) |
| 95.32% ( 0.06) | 4.68% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 80.99% ( 0.18) | 19% ( -0.18) |
| 40.92% ( -0.06) | 59.07% ( 0.06) |
