Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Under-19s win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Israel Under-19s had a probability of 38.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Under-19s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.97%) and 0-2 (4.97%). The likeliest Israel Under-19s win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Under-19s would win this match.
