With both Israel and South Korea often cancelling out defensive shortcomings with at least one goal at the correct end of the field, Sunday's third-place playoff has all the makings of an extremely close affair, one which may not be settled in normal time.
As already-fatigued legs begin to tire in extra time, penalties may very well be the outcome, and with South Korea suffering 12-yard heartache to Uzbekistan in the Asian Cup just three months ago, we give the edge to Israel from the spot.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea Under-20s win with a probability of 57.73%. A win for Israel Under-20s had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea Under-20s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.33%) and 1-3 (6.95%). The likeliest Israel Under-20s win was 2-1 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
