Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark Under-21s win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Iceland Under-21s had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Iceland Under-21s win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Denmark Under-21s would win this match.