Russia U21s
4 - 1
Iceland U21s

Chalov (31' pen.), Tiknizyan (42'), Zakharyan (45+2'), Makarov (53')
Maslov (28'), Oblyakov (35'), Golubev (71'), Umyarov (90+1')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Aron Gudjohnsen (59')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Group Stage clash between Russia Under-21s and Iceland Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia Under-21s win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Iceland Under-21s had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Iceland Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Russia Under-21s	Draw	Iceland Under-21s
46.48%	23.2%	30.32%

Both teams to score 62.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.96%

39.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.64%

61.36%

Russia Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.86%

17.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.63%

47.36%

Iceland Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75%

24.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.35%

59.65%

Score Analysis

Russia Under-21s 46.48%

Iceland Under-21s 30.32%

Draw 23.19%

Russia Under-21s	Draw	Iceland Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.24% 1-0 @ 7.56% 2-0 @ 6.66% 3-1 @ 5.43% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 2.4% 4-0 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 4.12% Total : 46.48%	1-1 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 6.41% 0-0 @ 4.28% 3-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.19%	1-2 @ 7.26% 0-1 @ 5.94% 0-2 @ 4.12% 1-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.32%