Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia Under-21s win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Poland Under-21s had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Poland Under-21s win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Serbia Under-21s in this match.