Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
