Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
Result | ||
Chelsea | Draw | Leicester City |
40.91% | 26.51% | 32.58% |
Both teams to score 51.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.12% | 52.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.51% | 74.49% |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.54% | 25.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.7% | 60.3% |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.61% | 30.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.42% | 66.58% |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea | Draw | Leicester City |
1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.9% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.74% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 9.22% 1-2 @ 7.51% 0-2 @ 5.49% 1-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 2.04% Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.58% |
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