Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.87%) and 2-0 (5.33%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
