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UEFA Super Cup | Final
Aug 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
EF

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Frankfurt

Alaba (37'), Benzema (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alario (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawEintracht Frankfurt
56.82% (-0.055 -0.05) 24.78% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 18.4% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.41% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)56.59% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.43% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)77.57% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)19.86% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.03% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)51.97% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55% (0.015000000000001 0.02)45% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.06% (0.012 0.01)80.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 56.8%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 18.4%
    Draw 24.77%
Real MadridDrawEintracht Frankfurt
1-0 @ 14.44%
2-0 @ 11.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 56.8%
1-1 @ 11.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.94% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.72%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.14% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.61% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.85% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 18.4%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Juventus
Sunday, July 31 at 3am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-2 America
Wednesday, July 27 at 3.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Barcelona 0-1 Real Madrid
Sunday, July 24 at 4am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-0 Real Betis
Friday, May 20 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Real Madrid
Sunday, May 15 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-6 Bayern
Friday, August 5 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Magdeburg 0-4 Frankfurt
Monday, August 1 at 7.46pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Rangers (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, May 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-0 West Ham
Thursday, May 5 at 8pm in Europa League


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