Matches between Barcelona and Real Madrid are always important affairs, and there are a number of talking points surrounding this fixture despite it being a pre-season friendly. It has all of the makings of an open and entertaining fixture, and we are expecting a high-scoring draw to take place in Las Vegas.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.75%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
0.24) 
-0.06) 
