Desna
1 - 2
Luhansk

Favorov (90+8' pen.)
Mostovyi (10'), Imerekov (43'), Gitchenko (53'), Arveladze (66'), Khlyobas (86'), Tamm (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kochergin (6'), Mykhaylichenko (55')
Vernydub (24'), Cheberko (32'), Lunyov (89'), Gromov (90+3')
Cheberko (90+8')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Zorya Luhansk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Desna Chernihiv	Draw	Zorya Luhansk
33.42%	28.92%	37.66%

Both teams to score 44.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.33%

61.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.51%

81.49%

Desna Chernihiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.66%

34.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.96%

71.04%

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.45%

31.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.05%

67.94%

Score Analysis

Desna Chernihiv 33.41%

Zorya Luhansk 37.65%

Draw 28.91%

Desna Chernihiv	Draw	Zorya Luhansk
1-0 @ 11.57% 2-1 @ 7.14% 2-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.29% Total : 33.41%	1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.83% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.91%	0-1 @ 12.49% 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 7.21% 1-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.93% Total : 37.65%