Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.