Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 14.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.