Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 52.95%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 1-0 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shakhtar Donetsk in this match.