Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 56.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Metal Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.