Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 14.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.52%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.04) 
