SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Metal Kharkiv win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Metal Kharkiv |
43.2% ( -0.06) | 23.93% ( 0) | 32.87% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 60.75% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.59% ( 0.01) | 41.41% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.19% ( 0.01) | 63.81% ( -0.01) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.58% ( -0.02) | 19.42% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.75% ( -0.04) | 51.25% ( 0.04) |
| Metal Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.39% ( 0.04) | 24.61% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.88% ( 0.06) | 59.12% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Metal Kharkiv |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 43.2% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.87% |
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