SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 55.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 21.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 1-0 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
21.03% ( 0.18) | 23.36% ( 0.09) | 55.6% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 52.14% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.05% ( -0.16) | 47.94% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.88% ( -0.15) | 70.12% ( 0.14) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.89% ( 0.09) | 37.11% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.1% ( 0.09) | 73.9% ( -0.09) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.92% ( -0.16) | 17.08% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.73% ( -0.27) | 47.27% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.68% Total : 21.03% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.83% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.78% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 55.6% |
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