SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih |
40.74% ( -1.38) | 26.28% ( 0.38) | 32.99% ( 0.99) |
| Both teams to score 52.76% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.19% ( -1.33) | 51.81% ( 1.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.43% ( -1.16) | 73.57% ( 1.16) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% ( -1.3) | 25.07% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.25% ( -1.83) | 59.75% ( 1.82) |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% ( -0) | 29.58% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.38% ( -0) | 65.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.53% Total : 40.74% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.99% |
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