SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 22.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dnipro-1 | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
52.95% ( -0.16) | 24.83% ( 0.05) | 22.22% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 49.28% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.46% ( -0.07) | 52.54% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.8% ( -0.06) | 74.2% ( 0.06) |
| Dnipro-1 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.19% ( -0.09) | 19.81% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.11% ( -0.15) | 51.88% ( 0.15) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.46% ( 0.07) | 38.54% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.71% ( 0.07) | 75.29% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dnipro-1 | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 12.36% 2-0 @ 10% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 52.95% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 22.22% |
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