SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Oleksandriya would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
38.77% ( 0.88) | 26% ( -0.18) | 35.22% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 54.13% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.74% ( 0.69) | 50.25% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.79% ( 0.61) | 72.2% ( -0.61) |
| FC Oleksandriya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( 0.81) | 25.4% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.78% ( 1.09) | 60.21% ( -1.09) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.57% ( -0.09) | 27.42% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.09% ( -0.12) | 62.9% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.52% Total : 38.77% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.22% |
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