SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
54.99% ( 0.1) | 24.79% ( -0.17) | 20.22% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.75% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.49% ( 0.7) | 54.51% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.13% ( 0.57) | 75.87% ( -0.58) |
| Polissya Zhytomyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.22% ( 0.31) | 19.78% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.17% ( 0.5) | 51.82% ( -0.51) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.28% ( 0.48) | 41.72% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.81% ( 0.41) | 78.19% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 1-0 @ 13.37% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.75% Total : 54.98% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.71% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.13% Total : 20.22% |
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