Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inhulets win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inhulets win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Dnipro-1 win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.