SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chornomorets Odesa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inhulets | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
34.88% ( 1.16) | 26.52% ( -0.34) | 38.6% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( 1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.51% ( 1.54) | 52.49% ( -1.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.84% ( 1.31) | 74.15% ( -1.31) |
| Inhulets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.28% ( 1.49) | 28.72% ( -1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.45% ( 1.83) | 64.55% ( -1.83) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( 0.26) | 26.53% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.26% ( 0.35) | 61.73% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inhulets | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.88% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.48)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.31)1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.6% |
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