SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metalist Kharkiv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Inhulets |
36.98% ( -0.26) | 27.5% ( -0.06) | 35.52% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 49.31% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.63% ( 0.23) | 56.37% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.61% ( 0.19) | 77.39% ( -0.19) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.67% ( -0.05) | 29.33% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.7% ( -0.05) | 65.3% ( 0.05) |
| Inhulets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% ( 0.31) | 30.23% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.61% ( 0.38) | 66.39% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Inhulets |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.98% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 10.6% 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.51% |
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