Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.