SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
29.21% ( 0.16) | 26.77% ( -0.11) | 44.01% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.66% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.94% ( 0.49) | 55.06% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.68% ( 0.4) | 76.32% ( -0.4) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.09% ( 0.38) | 33.91% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.42% ( 0.41) | 70.58% ( -0.41) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% ( 0.19) | 24.86% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.54% ( 0.27) | 59.46% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
| 1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.21% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 44.01% |
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