Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%).