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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Jul 12, 2020 at 3pm UK
Stadion im. Volodymyra Boyka

Mariupol
1 - 4
Olimpik Donetsk

Myshnyov (65')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Zaviyskiy (8', 30'), Degtyarev (14', 55')
Lytvyn (84')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Olimpik Donetsk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpik Donetsk win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olimpik Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olimpik Donetsk would win this match.

Result
MariupolDrawOlimpik Donetsk
36.71%26.11%37.18%
Both teams to score 53.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.37%50.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.46%72.53%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27%26.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38%62%
Olimpik Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53%26.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36%61.64%
Score Analysis
    Mariupol 36.71%
    Olimpik Donetsk 37.18%
    Draw 26.1%
MariupolDrawOlimpik Donetsk
1-0 @ 9.33%
2-1 @ 8.18%
2-0 @ 6.16%
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-0 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 36.71%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.07%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 9.4%
1-2 @ 8.25%
0-2 @ 6.25%
1-3 @ 3.66%
0-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.22%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 37.18%


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