SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minai win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minai win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Metal Kharkiv win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minai would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metal Kharkiv | Draw | Minai |
33.15% ( 0.03) | 25.16% ( -0.02) | 41.69% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.53% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.04% ( 0.09) | 46.96% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.79% ( 0.08) | 69.2% ( -0.08) |
| Metal Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.89% ( 0.06) | 27.11% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.51% ( 0.08) | 62.49% ( -0.08) |
| Minai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( 0.03) | 22.45% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.02% ( 0.05) | 55.98% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metal Kharkiv | Draw | Minai |
| 1-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.15% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.38% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 41.69% |
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