SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Minai had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Minai win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minai | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
29.74% ( 1.44) | 28.44% ( 0.35) | 41.82% ( -1.79) |
| Both teams to score 45.21% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.17% ( -0.66) | 60.83% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.13% ( -0.5) | 80.87% ( 0.5) |
| Minai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.41% ( 0.78) | 36.59% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.62% ( 0.77) | 73.38% ( -0.78) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% ( -1.28) | 28.69% ( 1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.48% ( -1.63) | 64.52% ( 1.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minai | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.87% Total : 29.73% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.43% | 0-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.4)1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.62% Total : 41.81% |
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