SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Minai had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Minai win it was 1-0 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minai | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
21.92% ( 0.14) | 27.13% ( 0.12) | 50.95% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 42.74% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.06% ( -0.28) | 60.94% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.05% ( -0.21) | 80.95% ( 0.21) |
| Minai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.35% ( -0.02) | 43.65% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.17% ( -0.02) | 79.83% ( 0.01) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( -0.24) | 24.15% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.53% ( -0.34) | 58.47% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minai | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.42% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)3-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.92% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.52% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 14.97% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 10.64% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.29% Total : 50.94% |
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