SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 71.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 10.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Metal Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dnipro-1 | Draw | Metal Kharkiv |
71.75% ( 0.43) | 17.26% ( 0.07) | 10.99% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 48.94% ( -2.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.81% ( -1.8) | 40.18% ( 1.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.44% ( -1.89) | 62.56% ( 1.89) |
| Dnipro-1 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.1% ( -0.36) | 9.89% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.22% ( -0.85) | 32.77% ( 0.85) |
| Metal Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.31% ( -2.09) | 45.69% ( 2.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.52% ( -1.69) | 81.48% ( 1.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dnipro-1 | Draw | Metal Kharkiv |
| 2-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.62) 1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.68)2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.24)5-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.17)6-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.54% Total : 71.74% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.84% Total : 17.26% | 0-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.89% Total : 10.99% |
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