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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist

Shakhtar
1 - 0
Obolon

Nazaryna (77')
Stepanenko (63'), Lamkin (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vovkun (25'), Taranukha (32'), Pryymak (90+4'), Rybka (90+4')
Vovkun (33')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Obolon Kyiv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minai 1-4 Shakhtar
Saturday, September 2 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Polissya 2-0 Obolon
Saturday, September 2 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 69.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 10.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.76%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shakhtar Donetsk in this match.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawObolon Kyiv
69.25% (0.283 0.28) 20.1% (-0.148 -0.15) 10.65% (-0.138 -0.14)
Both teams to score 38.9% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (0.218 0.22)53.13% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.29% (0.185 0.18)74.71% (-0.188 -0.19)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.68% (0.155 0.16)14.32% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.85% (0.307 0.31)42.15% (-0.311 -0.31)
Obolon Kyiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.4% (-0.13 -0.13)54.59% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.36% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)87.64% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 69.25%
    Obolon Kyiv 10.65%
    Draw 20.1%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawObolon Kyiv
1-0 @ 15.19% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 14.76% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 9.57% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.65% (0.065 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.81% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.81% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.09% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 69.25%
1-1 @ 9.2% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.7% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 20.1%
0-1 @ 4.73% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 2.78% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.43% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 10.65%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Minai 1-4 Shakhtar
Saturday, September 2 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Kovalivka 0-2 Shakhtar
Sunday, August 27 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 3-3 Shakhtar
Sunday, August 20 at 5.10pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Shakhtar 2-1 Oleksandriya
Monday, August 14 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 5-1 Shakhtar
Sunday, August 6 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Veres 1-1 Shakhtar
Wednesday, August 2 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Polissya 2-0 Obolon
Saturday, September 2 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Obolon 0-0 Kryvbas Kryvyi
Monday, August 28 at 5pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 1-2 Obolon
Sunday, August 20 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Chornomorets 2-0 Obolon
Saturday, August 12 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Obolon 2-4 Dynamo Kiev
Friday, August 4 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Obolon 0-0 Kovalivka
Friday, July 28 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League


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