Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpik Donetsk win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olimpik Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olimpik Donetsk would win this match.