Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Olimpik Donetsk had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Olimpik Donetsk win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.