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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 27, 2020 at 3pm UK
Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist

Shakhtar
2 - 0
Olimpik Donetsk

Kovalenko (64'), Moraes (66')
Moraes (22'), Matviyenko (33'), Antonio (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Snurnitsyn (50'), Babenko (67')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Olimpik Donetsk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Olimpik Donetsk had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Olimpik Donetsk win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawOlimpik Donetsk
49.27%24.4%26.33%
Both teams to score 54.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.85%47.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.61%69.39%
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81%19.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.13%50.87%
Olimpik Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.03%31.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.57%68.43%
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 49.26%
    Olimpik Donetsk 26.33%
    Draw 24.39%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawOlimpik Donetsk
1-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 9.53%
2-0 @ 8.36%
3-1 @ 5.25%
3-0 @ 4.6%
3-2 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 2.17%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 49.26%
1-1 @ 11.54%
0-0 @ 6.14%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 7%
1-2 @ 6.59%
0-2 @ 3.99%
1-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 26.33%


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