Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Olimpik Donetsk had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Olimpik Donetsk win was 1-0 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.