SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 22.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Polissya Zhytomyr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
51.86% ( -0.9) | 25.43% ( 0.07) | 22.71% ( 0.83) |
| Both teams to score 48.13% ( 0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.64% ( 0.54) | 54.36% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.26% ( 0.45) | 75.74% ( -0.45) |
| Polissya Zhytomyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% ( -0.15) | 20.98% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.25% ( -0.24) | 53.75% ( 0.25) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.91% ( 1.13) | 39.08% ( -1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.2% ( 1.04) | 75.8% ( -1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
| 1-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 10% ( -0.3)2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.33% Total : 51.85% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.45% Total : 22.71% |
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