SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Polissya Zhytomyr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Polissya Zhytomyr |
25.75% ( -0.18) | 25.46% ( 0.16) | 48.78% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.14% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.04% ( -0.76) | 51.96% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.29% ( -0.66) | 73.7% ( 0.66) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.99% ( -0.56) | 35% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.25% ( -0.59) | 71.75% ( 0.59) |
| Polissya Zhytomyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% ( -0.3) | 21.31% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.73% ( -0.46) | 54.26% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.11% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.08% Total : 25.75% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.41% Total : 48.78% |
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