SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 1-0 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
21.72% ( 0.63) | 24.4% ( 0.2) | 53.88% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 49.93% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.64% ( -0.08) | 51.36% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.82% ( -0.07) | 73.18% ( 0.07) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.63% ( 0.59) | 38.36% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.88% ( 0.56) | 75.12% ( -0.56) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( -0.35) | 18.99% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.46% ( -0.58) | 50.54% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.53% Total : 21.72% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 10.05% ( -0.19)1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.57% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 5.33% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 53.88% |
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