SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
39.19% ( 0.04) | 28.4% ( -0.01) | 32.41% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.21% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.99% ( 0.03) | 60.02% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.75% ( 0.02) | 80.25% ( -0.02) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% ( 0.04) | 29.8% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.13% ( 0.05) | 65.88% ( -0.04) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.83% ( -0) | 34.17% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.14% ( -0) | 70.87% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
| 1-0 @ 12.32% 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.51% Total : 39.18% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.39% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 32.41% |
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